The margins are as tight as ever on championship weekend with every game lined inside a discipline aim, so can the officers in the game assist carve out an edge for both aspect or complete?
The head referee for the AFC title game between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs is Ron Torbert. How does he sometimes officiate video games and what’s the impact of it on the game? First, right here’s the odds for the Sunday evening matchup:
Ron Torbert’s referee stats
There was not a lot of a distinction between residence group penalties towards away group this season when Torbert was officiating video games. The residence group was known as for somewhat greater than 51% of flags on the discipline throughout 16 video games, which can be a near-even cut up, however that’s greater than 4 % larger than the common throughout all the video games this season. Typically, residence groups get a greater whistle, however not with Tolbert.
However, residence groups did win greater than 62% of the video games with Torbert on the discipline, proper in line with the league common.
There’s not an enormous development to observe with Torbert, however right here is the quantity of penalties known as on residence groups relative to the league common over the final 5 years.
- 2022: +4.58%
- 2021: -2.15%
- 2020: +.12%
- 2019: -1.67%
- 2018: +3.76%
To me, what’s fascinating with Tobert’s tendencies is the quantity of penalties his crew is asking relative to the league.
- 2022: -0.34
- 2021: -1.94
- 2020: -0.05
- 2019: +.03
- 2018: -1.06
With much less impact from the officers we might even see extra bodily play on the discipline, which may be an help to the protection towards two of the extra explosive groups in soccer. If the refs are going to “let them play” then we might even see some extra shut calls in regards to holding on the protection on passing performs.
The margin is tight in this game as the Chiefs and Bengals have traded being favorites since the line opened on Sunday, however the complete has ticked down a degree. The edge could also be discovered in the referees determination to throw a flag or not, and based mostly on historic tendencies, Tolbert’s crew is a bit more gun shy.
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Game odds refresh periodically and are topic to vary.